Bitcoin showing early signs of another sell off?

Bitcoin had a tumultuous 2022 with the leading cryptocurrency seeing an aggressive sell off. Lead by catalyst such including the collapse of Celsius and exchange FTX, the price of the dropped 65% from 50,000 USD to $17,000. The collapse of the large players within the cryptocurrency sphere sent shockwaves as institutions and retailers pulled their funds from the sector. Further threats of more regulation also threw shade at the legitimacy of the current market and the future ability of the market to operate at the status quo.

In more recent times, the price of Bitcoin has not found any significant support and there is no evidence to suggest that in the short term a reversal or a long opportunity will arise. Consequently, traders should be looking at upward price movements as opportunities to entre short until a true reversal is validated.

By looking at the daily chart the price has respected the 100-day moving average. On the prior 4 occasions in which the price has tested this resistance it has failed to break out. Each time the rejection has been accompanied by aggressive bearish candlesticks. These were sometimes supported by large sell volumes but not always. Using this 100-day moving average line as resistance and waiting for a bearish candle represent a possible short opportunity. This is roughly at $17,900 USD. The short side target is the break is $15,500 for the first level and then if it breaks through the next support is at $14,000.

Looking at the 4-hour chart the price shows that it is still trying to move up with some continuing momentum. Waiting for the 4-hour chart to show some weakness in terms of selling volume or a bearish sequence may provide the entry trigger for a short entry. Furthermore, the RSI is still in an uptrend. If the RSI breaks to down the side, it may provide some further confirmation of a bread down of the price.