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Articles

Trade from an informed place. We cover news, political events and market analysis plus product updates.

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Articles

Trade from an informed place. We cover news, political events and market analysis plus product updates.

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FX wrap – GBP volatile on BoE surprise, JPY and CHF under pressure, USD follows yields up

USD was firmer on Thursday, largely due to a rally in treasury yields with the DXY tracking the 10 year yield higher to a peak of 102.470 after bouncing off the psychological 102 support level. US data was mixed with Unemployment claims and current account figures coming in worse than expected, but this was offset by a beat in Existing home sales. ...

June 23, 2023
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AUDUSD testing key support after RBA minutes

The RBA minutes of their June meeting where another surprise hike had most of the market off side were released today, and they were surprisingly dovish. The board made clear the decision between a hike and hold was finely balanced and seems to suggest further hikes may require a high bar for inflation readings to sway them. AUD reaction was swift ...

June 20, 2023
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Asia Morning FX – AUD and EUR surge, USD takes a hit post FOMC, BoJ ahead

USD tumbled in Thursday’s session in the wake of a dovish Powell presser (relative to statement/dot plots) saw the Dollar bears in charge. This, coupled with a hawkish ECB and mixed US data saw DXY fall from highs of 103.38 in the European morning to a low of 102.08, with the psychological 102 level the next obvious support. A hawkish ECB, where ...

June 16, 2023
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AUDUSD Soars on RBA Hike, EURUSD underperforms, CAD, GBP, JPY wrap

USD was firmer on Tuesday amid a light news calendar sparse in any key risk events. The US Dollar index again having a choppy session in a tight range with EURUSD weakness giving the Dollar a tailwind, also helping the greenback was ramped up US growth forecasts from Goldman Sachs and the World Bank hitting the wires. EUR was the G10 underpe...

June 7, 2023
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Could the Reserve Bank of Australia hike rates further?

The Australian interest rate is currently at 3.85% and the most recent consumer price index (CPI) released at 6.8% which indicates slightly higher than expected inflation growth (expectation was 6.4% with previous data at 6.3%). This puts more focus on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). While further rate ...

June 6, 2023
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Market Analysis 5 – 9 June 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   5 – 9 June 2023 The overall outlook for gold prices is bearish in the short term. As there was a loss of buying momentum after testing the resistance area 2070, forming a Triple Top pattern on the Weekly timeframe, then there was a strong sell momentum, causing the price to fall below the price line. 1960s price line wh...

June 5, 2023
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Hot CPI fails to hold AUDUSD above key level

Australian CPI released today surprised to the upside coming in at 6.8% y/y , well above the consensus of 6.4% which itself was  an increase on March’s figure of 6.3% Coming into the figure futures markets had priced in a measly 2.5% chance of a hike next week by the RBA, that changed dramatically with odds jumping to 18.8% for a 25bp hike ac...

May 31, 2023
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Market Analysis 29 May – 02 June 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   29 May – 02 June 2023 Forecasting the price of gold in the short term, the price may move down to test the 1915 support area, which is the area where the price is expected to bounce back. and if the price can stand without falling further Price may have a sideways correction before rallying to test the 1960 resistance a...

May 30, 2023
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Market Analysis 22-26 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   22 – 26 May 2023 The gold price outlook is generally positive in the medium term. Although the close of last week's sell pressure bar indicates a significant loss of buying momentum, due to the sell-off during the week but the price is still moving above the 1960 support. After the adjustment has come down to test, the ...

May 23, 2023
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AUD analysis – waiting for a catalyst – range trading and mean reversion opportunities

The Aussie dollar has been fairly directionless since late February with it seemingly waiting for a catalyst to break it’s ranges and take the next leg up or down, data this week has failed to provide that. This opens up a couple of very good opportunities for traders, range trading the AUDUSD and mean reversion trades on the AUDNZD. Starting ...

May 18, 2023
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Market Analysis 15-19 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is generally positive in the medium term. Although the close of last week's sell pressure bar indicates a significant loss of buying momentum, due to the sell-off during the week but the price is still moving above the 2000 support level after a rebound to test and then rebound. It...

May 18, 2023
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Target beats estimates – the stock is up

Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) announced Q1 financial results before the market open in the US today. The company posted solid results beating revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates. Company overview Founded: June 24, 1902 Headquarters: Target Plaza Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States Number of employees: 440,000 (2023) ...

May 18, 2023
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Bank of England hikes again

Bank of England announced the latest policy decision on Thursday, raising interest rates for the 12th consecutive time from 4.25% to 4.5%, which was in line with expectations. Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 7-2 to raise interest rates to 4.5%. Two members voted to maintain the interest rate unchanged at 4...

May 11, 2023
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GBPUSD analysis – Is the Bank of England approaching peak rates?

The Bank of England (BoE) is due to release its interest rate decision today, with markets expecting a 12th consecutive hike to take interest rates to 4.50%. There has been increasing speculation that the BoE is reaching its terminal rates and could follow the lead of the US FOMC and the ECB in signaling a slowdown or pause on further rate hikes fo...

May 11, 2023
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Walt Disney continues to lose subscribers – the stock is falling

World’s largest entertainment company The Waly Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) announced second quarter financial results ended April 1, 2023, after the market close on Wall Street on Wednesday. Company overview Founded: October 16, 1923 Headquarters: Team Disney Building, Walt Disney Studios, Burbank, California, United States Number of...

May 11, 2023
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